👋 Hi, it’s CJ Gustafson and welcome to Mostly Metrics, my weekly newsletter where I unpack how the world’s best CFOs and business experts use metrics to make better decisions.

LTV to CAC and Nickelback are both:

  • Overplayed

  • Unrealistic

  • Prone to error

  • Unchanging with the times

  • General, and devoid of context

  • Canadian

Today I’ll explain why LTV to CAC is flawed, yet a consistent recipient of misplaced love.

TL;DR:

  • It’s too compound of a metric for decision making purposes

  • It’s theoretical, and often unrealistic

  • People make some very common mistakes

    • Forgetting to Gross Margin Adjust your LTV

    • Using the wrong churn rate

    • Refusing to segment

  • The difficulty of landing a customer changes over time

  • General benchmarks are like general life advice

  • Bigger isn’t always better

  • What I’d use instead

    • CAC Payback Period

    • Net Dollar Retention

I’ve had a bone to pick with LTV to CAC for too long. And today I woke up and chose violence.

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